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NISCAIR ONLINE PERIODICALS REPOSITORY (NOPR) >
NISCAIR PUBLICATIONS >
Research Journals >
Journal of Intellectual Property Rights (JIPR) >
JIPR Vol.17 [2012] >
JIPR Vol.17(1) [January 2012] >
| Title: | Applicability of Patent Information in Technological Forecasting: A Sector-specific Approach |
| Authors: | Yoon, Byungun
Lee, Sungjoo |
| Keywords: | Patent analysis
S-curve
Sectoral patterns of innovation
Technological forecasting
R&D investment |
| Issue Date: | Jan-2012 |
| Publisher: | NISCAIR-CSIR, India |
| Abstract: | Since the strategies of firms for protecting
their innovations could vary between patents and trade secrets according to the
characteristics of industries, patent analysis might not always be appropriate
for forecasting technological trends in industries. This paper aims to identify
relevant industries where patent information can be effectively utilized to
scrutinize the trends
and effects of technological activities. To this end,
first, sectoral differences in patenting activities are explored by analysing the community
innovation survey (CIS) data. Second, the applicability
of patent trend analysis for technological forecasting is examined in
each industry through the S-curve fitting process with patent data. Finally, correlation
analysis between R&D
data (R&D investment and loyalty income) and
patent application data is performed to demonstrate the explanatory power of
patent information in R&D management, by investigating the relationship
between the inputs and outputs of a R&D system. The results of this paper
will help support a strategic process for using patent analysis to envisage
future trends and comprehend diverse characteristics of a technology. |
| Page(s): | 37-45 |
| CC License: |  CC Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 2.5 India |
| ISSN: | 0975-1076 (Online); 0971-7544 (Print) |
| Source: | JIPR Vol.17(1) [January 2012]
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