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NISCAIR ONLINE PERIODICALS REPOSITORY (NOPR) >
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Research Journals >
Journal of Scientific and Industrial Research (JSIR) >
JSIR Vol.66 [2007] >
JSIR Vol.66(04) [April 2007] >
| Title: | Managing uncertainty in forecasting the diffusion of telecommunications innovations |
| Authors: | Puumalainen, Kaisu
Sundqvist, Sanna
Huiskonen, Janne |
| Keywords: | Cellular subscriptions
Diffusion of innovations
Neural networks
SOM
Telecommunications
Uncertainty |
| Issue Date: | Apr-2007 |
| Publisher: | CSIR |
| Abstract: | The study presents how adding more independent explaining variables and applying neural networks for
forecasting purposes could improve the forecasting accuracy of the diffusion of innovations. The paper proposes a set
of uncertainty sources of telecommunications industry that have notable affect on the diffusion of innovations in the
field. Diffusion patterns and uncertainty indicators of 81 countries were classified using self-organizing map neural
network approach, and the results indicate that various levels and types of uncertainty are likely to produce different
types of diffusion patterns. |
| Page(s): | 299-304 |
| ISSN: | 0022-4456 |
| Source: | JSIR Vol.66(04) [April 2007]
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